Open Dialogue Research Journal
The EU would plunge into a full-blown recession if it complied, but that might be what Trump wants so as to bankrupt its companies and thus give US ones a greater edge in the newly tariff-free EU market. Trump proposed in a social media post over the weekend that NATO stop buying […]
He finally accepts the impossibility of restoring Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders. Zelensky recently told ABC News that “Victory, to my mind, Putin’s goal is to occupy Ukraine, this is to destroy us, occupy, and did he occupy it?…He didn’t occupy us, we win, and I think so, because we have our country.” This […]
Some commentators on both sides think that this might lead to World War III. NATO forces directly intercepted Russian drones for the first time since the special operation began after some of them veered into Poland earlier this week, with this unprecedented incident arguably being due to NATO jamming as explained here. Some commentators […]
It’s unlikely that Russia would risk rallying the West around a no-fly zone over Ukraine by staging a deliberate provocation against Poland or even just carrying out a recon mission in NATO airspace. Poland claimed to have shot down several Russian drones on Wednesday morning that reportedly crossed into its airspace during […]
NATO might exploit this hoax as the pretext for commencing large-scale but “plausibly deniable” electronic warfare provocations against Kaliningrad that could spike the risk of a civilian accident. The Financial Times’ Brussels Bureau Chief Henry Foy prompted panic across Europe last week when he reported that Russian electronic warfare succeeded in jamming […]
The end result might be the world’s bifurcation into the US-led “Global West” and the Chinese-led Global South. Putin elaborated on his master plan for the Russian Arctic and Far East during his keynote speech at this year’s Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok last week. This piece will summarize what he shared […]
It’s about turbocharging the emerging Turkish-Azeri-Pak bloc by giving Islamabad access to TRIPP for facilitating trade with Turkiye and Europe in order to consolidate this bloc’s sway across Central Asia. The Armenian and Pakistani Foreign Ministers signed a joint communique on the sidelines of the SCO Summit in Tianjin establishing diplomatic ties. […]
Trump’s escalatory signals in Ukraine, the Indo-US split that he induced, and the attendant alleviation of the Sino-Indo security dilemma freed Russia up to clinch the long-negotiated Power of Siberia 2 deal. Trump’s Eurasian grand strategy has sought to preemptively avert Russia’s potentially disproportionate dependence on China in order to […]
The processes that are unfolding will take a lot of time to complete, perhaps even a generation or longer, so expectations of a swift transition to full-blown multipolarity should be tempered. The recent SCO Leaders’ Summit in Tianjin drew renewed attention to this organization, which began as a means for […]
The recent Sino-Indo rapprochement, which was inadvertently brought about by the US, accounts for why this year’s Chinese host agreed to include this in the Tianjin Declaration unlike how it was conspicuously omitted from late June’s SCO Defense Ministers’ draft statement. The Tianjin Declaration that emerged from this year’s SCO […]
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