Each of them is capable of keeping Americans’ cost of living high at MAGA’s expense in 2028 unless Trump reaches a series of mutual compromises with them that advance some of their most sensitive interests in a foreign policy revolution that would fundamentally reshape the emerging world order. The bloodbath […]
China
Can Guinea Turn Simandou Into A Lasting Economic Transformation?
Guinea sits on the largest iron ore reserve on earth, and for the first time in its history it is exporting from it. The Simandou mines began production in November, and the country shipped 6.8 million tons of ore in the first half of this year. The scale of the […]
Serbia’s Historic Election
On Sunday night Aleksandar Vucic, the populist and nationalist who has dominated Serbian politics as prime minister or president since 2014, stood before television cameras and conceded defeat. “It is clear that we have lost these elections, the Student List has won,” he said. Within moments, tens of thousands of […]
How Likely Is It That China Agrees To Trilateral Arms Control Talks With The US & Russia?
Xi reasonably doesn’t want to freeze the gap between China and the US, but unless he does so, a nuclear arms race with the likely participation of several middle powers like Japan is possible. The White House’s fact sheet that was published after Xi’s visit to the US in September […]
United On China, Divided At Home
France and Germany have long approached China differently. Berlin, whose carmakers and machinery exporters depend on the Chinese market, favoured engagement and was wary of confrontation. Paris, more concerned with industrial sovereignty, pushed for tougher defensive tools. Now the two largest economies in the European Union are moving together. In […]
Between Ankara And Tel-Aviv: Iran’s Calculated Game In The New Middle East
The Middle East’s strategic landscape is fracturing. As the US-led security architecture erodes, a volatile triangle emerges, defined by rivalry and exploitation. At its heart lies the turbulent Turkey-Israel relationship. For decades, it oscillated between cooperation and crisis. Today, it enters a more dangerous phase, and no actor benefits from […]
Ethiopia Is On The Brink Of War: Escalation Of Violence In The Horn Of Africa
Recent events in Ethiopia demonstrate how the middle powers of the region are trying to project their interests and use the emerging opportunities to destabilize their geopolitical opponents. On September 23, large–scale fighting began in Tigray, Akhmara and Afar provinces as the so-called Alliance for Survival began attacking government forces […]
The Russian-US Diesel Deal Advances Trump 2.0’s “Strategy Of Denial” Against China
Since China declined to radically accelerate multipolarity by defying the US’ sanctions against Russia and cutting Ukraine off from drone-related sales, it’s poetic justice for Russia to radically exacerbate the US’ pressure campaign against China through a resource-centric rapprochement with the US that will derail China’s superpower trajectory. Trump announced […]
Death In The Lab, Panic In The Media, And The Old Demons Of Biothreats
In early October 2026, 28-year-old Darya Shipilova, an employee of the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute of Siberia and the Far East, died in Russia’s Irkutsk Region. The official wording from Rospotrebnadzor was pneumonia of undetermined etiology. No microorganisms linked to her professional activities were found in the samples. Two commissions […]
What Are Russia’s Top Three Strategic Challenges?
The new “cordon sanitaire” that Trump 2.0 assembled around Russia, the difficulty in maintaining its Sino-Indo balancing act, and the broken feedback loops that afflict its Foreign Ministry are the main strategic risks that must be urgently addressed in order to most effectively ensure Russia’s future. Putin wisely advised Russians […]






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