Author: Andrew KORYBKO

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Putin Might Accept Trump’s Reported Peace Plan

It represents a pragmatic balance of interests between all sides. The Washington Post reported that Trump’s Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are working on a four-part peace plan for resolving the Ukrainian Conflict. The first part concerns Ukraine’s reconstruction in which BlackRock and the World Bank would take […]

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The Russian-US Diesel Deal Advances Trump 2.0’s “Strategy Of Denial” Against China

Since China declined to radically accelerate multipolarity by defying the US’ sanctions against Russia and cutting Ukraine off from drone-related sales, it’s poetic justice for Russia to radically exacerbate the US’ pressure campaign against China through a resource-centric rapprochement with the US that will derail China’s superpower trajectory. Trump announced […]

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Ukraine’s Carpathian Eight Platform Will Optimize The ‘Cordon Sanitaire’s’ Military Logistics

The containment noose around Russia’s western and southern flanks might eventually tighten. Zelensky launched the Carpathian Eight (C8, also the Carpathian Integration Initiative) during a summit in late September. This platform was supposed to include Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Austria, Serbia, Romania, and Hungary, but the latter’s leader later denied that […]

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What Are Russia’s Top Three Strategic Challenges?

The new “cordon sanitaire” that Trump 2.0 assembled around Russia, the difficulty in maintaining its Sino-Indo balancing act, and the broken feedback loops that afflict its Foreign Ministry are the main strategic risks that must be urgently addressed in order to most effectively ensure Russia’s future. Putin wisely advised Russians […]

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Russia Made It Clear That Nuclear War Would Follow Any Serious Aggression Against Kaliningrad

Neither Poland nor Lithuania dares to blockade, let alone invade, this Russian exclave. Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski proposed in mid-September that Poland should “exercise so aggressively on our side (of Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave) as to make … [Russian President Vladimir Putin] uncertain of what we will do, and so […]

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Lukashenko’s Trilateral Belarusian-Russian-US Fertilizer Plant Proposal Is A Genius Move

It could set into motion a fast-moving sequence of events that meaningfully de-escalates New Cold War tensions provided that Trump agrees to participate in this project as expected. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko just announced that “Vladimir Vladimirovich [Putin] and I agreed that Gazprom will join us in implementing the project […]

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Why Were The German-Russian Foreign Ministers’ Talks A Dud Unlike The Belarusian-Polish Ones?

The German Foreign Minister only had domestic political motives for talking to his Russian counterpart while the Polish one had military-security motives for talking to his Belarusian counterpart. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov expressed disappointment after his meeting with his German counterpart Johann Wadephul, which was the first between their […]