Open Dialogue Research Journal
This study examines continuity and change in Eurasian multilateralism from COMECON and the Warsaw Pact to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Unlike its Soviet-era predecessors, the SCO adopts a flexible and pragmatic model linking security and economic development. However, this flexibility also limits the organization’s ability to manage internal disputes such […]
With the prospect of war involving Iran, Western analysts have rediscovered the South Caucasus, now rebranded as a “strategic bridge” linking Europe to Asia. The narrative is simple enough: as instability engulfs the Middle East and relations with Russia remain frozen, Europe can bypass both by investing in a so-called Middle Corridor […]
If Turkiye launches a military intervention in Iran along the lines of its earlier ones in Iraq and Syria to stop what it considers to be Kurdish terrorists, then its Azerbaijani ally might make a move on what it considers to be “South Azerbaijan”, and then the Gulf Arabs and […]
After Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government came to power in Armenia in 2018 as a result of the “velvet revolution”, the course of maintaining close relations with Moscow in the general context of Yerevan’s “multi-vector maneuvering” generally remained for several more years. However, after a heavy military defeat from Azerbaijan […]
Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin gave the impression of growing challenges to Russian interests like those that his boss Sergey Lavrov soberly acknowledged in an earlier interview, but following his lead, he’s also optimistic that they’ll ultimately be surmounted. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin, who’s responsible for the Commonwealth of […]
Armenia might have to accept the return of the ~200,000 Azeris who fled during the chaotic Soviet collapse (and the descendants), grant them equal language rights, teach in schools that they consider Armenia to be “Western Azerbaijan”, and possibly agree to a Schengen-like deal with Azerbaijan. Vice President JD Vance’s […]
The timing amidst continued US-mediated talks between Russia and Ukraine suggests that the US expects this ramped-up pressure to raise the chances of coercing concessions from Russia. Vice President JD Vance’s trips to Armenia and Azerbaijan were aimed at advancing several interconnected strategic goals. The most immediate was making progress on implementing the “Trump […]
Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, all of which have been Iran’s “frenemies” since 1979 and whose military-strategic interests are increasingly converging, are expected to exploit any large-scale instability that could follow another potential round of US strikes if Trump changes his mind. The Wall Street Journal recently published a […]
Awareness of the threats that NATO poses along these three fronts and the division of labor between the top five states therein – Finland, Sweden, Poland, Romania, and Turkiye – enables Russia to devise the most effective countermeasures and propose the best means for managing future tensions. It was earlier […]
Armenia’s potential replacement of low-cost Russian grain with more expensive Ukrainian grain could worsen its already difficult financial situation and thus prompt Azerbaijan and/or Turkiye to propose a bailout in exchange for further sovereignty concessions in its strategic southern province of Syunik. Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) reported that Armenia plans to replace low-cost […]
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