Middle East

Iran-US-ceasefire-crack

Deferring A Crisis: The Iran-US Ceasefire Cracks

Ceasefires in the Middle East seem especially susceptible to revision, alteration and contradiction. Missiles still get fired; airstrikes initiated. Destruction to infrastructure, and death, follows. Yet despite the misunderstandings, the sniping and the harrying, these odd understandings are often described by those funny political coves as “holding”. In the case […]

Oman-Iran-Hormuz-Strait-fees

Oman Signals Strait Of Hormuz May Never Return To Status Quo As Shipping Fees Loom

The future of one of the world’s most strategically important waterways has become increasingly uncertain after Oman warned European governments that the Strait of Hormuz may never return to its pre-war operating conditions. The announcement has raised fresh concerns among global shipping companies, energy traders, and Western governments that commercial […]

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Vance Faces Pushback From Pro-Israel Conservatives, But Retains Strong Support Among Evangelicals

Vice President JD Vance is encountering growing resistance from some of the Republican Party’s most influential pro-Israel voices following his central role in negotiating an end to the recent conflict with Iran. Yet despite criticism from conservative commentators and foreign policy hawks, many evangelical voters – one of the GOP’s […]

geopolitics-global-infra-politics

Russia, Central Asia And Issues Of Infra-Politics

We are currently in a situation of geopolitical turbulence. On the one hand, for many it is political uncertainty and instability. For others, this is a good time in geoeconomics, especially for those actors who stays outsides of main conflicts. Political scientists also talks about the growth of the middle […]

US-Iran-peace-deal

The US-Iran Deal Is Now Dead

On June 29th, the Times of Israel headlined “Hezbollah-allied Lebanese parliament speaker says deal with Israel ‘will not pass’”, and this is like if John Thune the Senate Majority Leader were to announce that a treaty which had been negotiated by the U.S., President would not pass in the U.S. Congress (specifically in […]

humanity-crossroads-future

Humanity At The Crossroads (I)

The world is entering a period of profound uncertainty. Political upheavals, demographic shifts, technological breakthroughs, and geopolitical realignments are converging to create a historical moment unlike any experienced before. Many of the assumptions that guided policymakers, scholars, and societies throughout the twentieth century are becoming increasingly unreliable as humanity encounters […]

Iran-politics-US-diplomacy

Iran’s Strategic Calculations Could Determine The Future Of Ceasefire Diplomacy

The latest escalation between Iran and Israel has pushed the Middle East into another period of dangerous uncertainty, raising a critical question for regional observers and international diplomats alike: can negotiations survive when military confrontation appears to offer some factions greater leverage than diplomacy? Recent developments suggest that the answer […]