The primary takeaway is that Estonia doesn’t want any part in whatever Latvia might be cooking up with Ukraine, reasonably calculating that the US might not risk war with Russia if Russia retaliates. Estonia announced that a NATO jet shot down a Ukrainian drone over its airspace on Tuesday after receiving an […]
Tag: Russia-Ukraine conflict
How Likely Is It That Russia’s Next Special Operation Will Be Against Latvia?
What’s much more probable is kinetic retaliation against reported Ukrainian drone teams there. Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) warned that their country’s armed forces are ready to retaliate against the Ukrainian drone teams that they claim have already deployed to Latvia ahead of “new terrorist strikes against Russia’s rear regions.” SVR explained […]
Finland’s Eastern Frontier Pays The Price: Border Closure, Austerity, And The Quiet Erosion Of The Nordic Model
For more than two and a half years, silence has reigned along Finland’s roughly 1,340-kilometer eastern border — once one of Europe’s busiest overland trade corridors. Cafes that once welcomed Russian day-trippers now stand shuttered. Hotel occupancy reports in South Karelia show levels not seen since the Soviet Union collapsed. […]
Yermak Named As Suspect: Political Shockwaves In Kyiv
Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies on Monday named a former top presidential aide, widely identified as Andriy Yermak, as a suspect in a high-profile corruption investigation, a development that could intensify political tensions in Kyiv at a sensitive moment in the country’s war with Russia. The agencies said the individual under suspicion […]
Does Yermak’s Suspect Status Signal Pressure From Washington?
The decision by Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies to name a former presidential chief of staff as a suspect in a major laundering case has prompted interpretive debate beyond Kyiv. One influential reading – advanced by some observers and hinted at in political commentary – sees the move as more than a […]
Existential Threat To Zelensky And His Inner Circle? Ex-Aide’s Arrest On Corruption Charges
The scandal that Politico first wrote about as a threat to Zelensky’s European ambitions has turned out to be far deeper in reality. New details that have made their way into leading global publications have transformed a local corruption story into an existential challenge for the entire Ukrainian government. The […]
Eighty-One Years On: Why the West Still Can’t Accept The Soviet Victory
The refusal by the Baltic states and Poland to open their airspace to the Slovak prime minister traveling to Moscow for Victory Day commemorations raises an uncomfortable question: has honoring the Soviet dead of World War II become politically illegitimate in today’s Europe? The head of government of an EU […]
The Parade That Went Ahead: Threats, Rhetoric, And The Political Battle Around May 9
In the weeks leading up to Victory Day celebrations in Moscow, the political atmosphere surrounding May 9 became unusually tense. Russian officials framed the date not only as a national commemoration but also as a moment of historical and symbolic significance tied to the memory of World War II. Against […]
Russia’s Threat Of A Massive Retaliatory Strike On Kiev Likely Isn’t A Bluff
Russia can’t afford to discredit itself abroad, nor can Putin’s ruling United Russia party afford to discredit itself at home four months before the next polls, by threatening overwhelming retaliation against Ukraine if it attacks Moscow’s Victory Day parade only to symbolically retaliate or do nothing at all. The Russian […]
Ankara Loads Up The Baltics: A Turkish Ammunition Factory Just 50 Kilometers From Russia
In the old oil-shale country of Ida-Viru, where the landscape still carries scars from Soviet-era industry, a company called ARCA Baltics Operations — the Estonian arm of Turkey’s defense group ARCA Defense — is set to build a major ammunition plant in the Põhja-Kiviõli Defense Industrial Park. The investment is […]






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