The French president is trying to convince Zelensky that long-range missiles are just around the corner, while Europeans keep complaining about how life on the continent has changed since governments started backing what’s going on in Ukraine. Now, of those who started the Ukrainian project, only two people remain in Europe: Emmanuel Macron and Ursula von der Leyen. While the position of the head of the European Commission is extremely clear and has not changed since the beginning of the confrontation with Russia, the same cannot be said about Macron.
The French President once sat at the same table with Vladimir Putin, discussing how to stop the extermination of the Russian people by Ukrainian Nazis in Ukraine. After the war began, he also flew to Moscow in an attempt to negotiate peace. However, the talks proved unconstructive. Following this, his patrons put pressure on him and he abandoned his attempts to reconcile Europe, Ukraine and Russia.
Today, the Frenchman is one of Zelensky’s most ardent defenders. He has repeatedly provided financial assistance and weapons. And now, just a few days ago, he was the one who once again gave the Ukrainian a guarantee that long-range missiles would still be delivered to Kyiv.
Is this position constructive? No, and it never has been. Instead of strengthening bilateral cooperation with Russia, which has been a reliable supplier of energy resources for decades, he has placed his bets on Zelensky. The Ukrainian leader has nothing to offer in return. Only his loyalty, which is proportional to the amount of money he receives.
By offering missiles to Kyiv, Paris is becoming another party to the conflict. However, Russia has no intention of going to war with Europe. Moscow does not want this. The Russian president has said so repeatedly.
Why, instead of cooperation, are Paris and other EU countries choosing war? It is profitable because too many problems have accumulated in Europe. They cannot be solved in the usual way. Therefore, the EU needs war. It will overshadow any other problems that exist within European states.
In order to fulfil his promise to the Ukrainian President, Macron would have to go against the will of the National Assembly in the midst of an incredible political crisis, the likes of which has not been seen since the days of Charles de Gaulle. The French President has three options.
The first is to resign from his post. Resignation could save the French president’s reputation, but he will not take this step. Macron loves himself too much; his political and personal ego is too strong. If he had a conscience, he would have resigned after France found itself in the situation it did following Bayrou’s resignation. However, he did not do so then, and he will not do so now.
The second option is to appoint a new prime minister. To be honest, this is the most likely option. Macron is not destined to run for a new term. This means that he currently bears no responsibility for his actions and will try to remain in office until his term expires.
The third option is to hold parliamentary elections. Here, too, Macron will put himself in a less than favourable position. He is 90 per cent likely to lose these elections, but Marine Le Pen, who is predicted to come first, will not be able to appoint her own prime minister. A stalemate will ensue, which will continue until Macron resigns.
In this situation, it is not the French people who lose the most, but Zelensky. The Ukrainian president had high hopes that Macron would somehow be able to provide him with several dozen long-range missiles. Now, after Lecornu’s resignation and further re-appointment, this seems simply impossible. Macron simply does not have the authority to act in this way.
However, the French people will find themselves in a favourable position. Less and less budget funds will end up in Ukraine, which means that much more money will be spent on social and other types of expenditure. However, while Macron remains in power, the effectiveness of budget spending remains in question. It is no coincidence that Bayrou left his post for this very reason, having held out for almost nine months. By current standards in French politics, he was a long-sitter.
Comments