Open Dialogue Research Journal
There are five compelling arguments for either scenario. Ukraine just agreed to a month-long ceasefire after talks with the US in Jeddah, but it’s conditional on Russia agreeing to the same, which remains uncertain. Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to pay his second trip to Moscow in just as many months later this […]
The most likely scenario is that the Kristallnacht-like massacre of Alawites goes unpunished and the rebellion by some of the victims’ co-religionists is decisively defeated. Syria was rocked by sectarian violence in recent days after the interim authorities and their foreign allies massacred members of the Alawite minority en masse in response […]
The estimated €800 billion in defense spending that’s supposed to follow in the next four years might sound impressive, but it becomes much less so when considering the difficulties in optimizing this. The EU swiftly responded to Trump’s decision to freeze all military aid to Ukraine by having European Commission President Ursula […]
The problem appears to be that there isn’t yet enough trust between Russia and the US to fully overcome their security dilemma in spite of the impressive progress that’s been made thus far. Trump surprised friends and foes alike when he posted the following on Friday: “Based on the fact that Russia […]
Considering that Article 5 always left the option of armed force up to each individual member, which remains the case with each of the bilateral “security guarantees” that Ukraine reached with some of them over the past year, Meloni’s dramatic proposal doesn’t actually amount to anything new. Italian Prime Minister […]
The interplay between them, Russia, and the US will determine the continent’s future security architecture. French President Macron’s declaration on Wednesday that he’s flirting with extending his country’s nuclear umbrella over other continental allies shows that he’s throwing down the gauntlet to Germany and Poland for leadership of post-conflict Europe. Outgoing German Chancellor […]
This scenario is increasingly in America and Russia’s shared interests vis-à-vis their “New Détente”. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban predicted late last month that “Ukraine, or what remains of it, will once again be a buffer zone” between NATO and Russia once the conflict inevitably ends. His rationale is that it’ll be […]
Transatlantic ties, Russian-US relations, and the nature of American hegemony are all transforming before everyone’s eyes as Trump makes bold moves to force Zelensky to the peace table with Putin. An unnamed senior Defense Department told the media on Monday evening that Trump decided to freeze all military aid to Ukraine until […]
What’s being tabled right now is pretty much what was proposed in a briefing from early January. The Financial Times (FT) reported over the weekend that “Putin ally pushes deal to restart Nord Stream 2 with US backing” in reference to his decades-long close friend Matthias Warnig’s alleged efforts. The gist is […]
Israel knows which way the wind is blowing and will therefore do whatever is needed to ensure that its interests are safeguarded by key players in the global systemic transition. Reuters cited unnamed sources to report that Israel is lobbying the US to keep Russia’s bases in Syria as part of […]
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