Open Dialogue Research Journal
That would greatly complicate Russia’s goal of demilitarizing Ukraine and thus imperil the peace talks. The US and Ukraine finally signed their minerals deal after amending the draft agreement to remove a proposal for Ukraine to pay back past US military aid. A clause was added though whereby future US military aid, including technology […]
Russia can expect nothing in return from the EU if Putin concedes to allow their troops and aircraft to deploy in and patrol over Western Ukraine. Russia has long warned that any unconditional ceasefire in Ukraine of the 30-day sort that Zelensky has proposed could create an opening for NATO to expand […]
Russia wants the world to know that North Korea might play a larger role in the conflict. Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov’s acknowledgement that North Korean troops helped expel Ukraine from Kursk ended around nine months of speculation about their role in the conflict. Rumors began to circulate after […]
Russia is still one of the world’s top naval powers despite its recent setbacks in the Black Sea. Putin’s senior aide Nikolai Patrushev, who ran the FSB for nearly a decade (1999-2008) before chairing the Security Council for over 15 years till recently (2008-2024) and then becoming the Chairman of […]
The latest socio-political and security developments suggest that it relishes being a frontline state. Estonia catapulted back into international news after it recently seized an alleged vessel from Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet”, to which Russia had a restrained reaction for the pragmatic reasons explained here, but it’s also been stirring up […]
Vucic’s trip should be seen less as defying the EU and more as furthering his self-interests. Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic confirmed that he’ll defy the EU by traveling to Moscow for Victory Day after the bloc warned officials from candidate countries like his not to participate in that event. This is a […]
US control over the trans-Ukrainian and Nord Stream pipelines could incentivize the EU into concessions on their trade war while whatever seized Russian assets that the US obtains legal ownership of from Moscow could serve to justify ramping up pressure on the bloc in this context. Reuters reported earlier in the […]
The US might pressure him to assemble a government of national unity on pain of once again suspending military and intelligence aid if he refuses to dilute his power in lieu of holding elections. Ukraine extended martial law until 6 August following Zelensky’s request earlier this week, which will prevent elections from being held […]
Russia wants to avoid falling into the UK’s trap for sabotaging its rapprochement with the US by credibly threatening military force against Estonia in response to this provocation, but Putin’s patience might run out if the US is unable or unwilling to prevent its partners from staging repeat incidents. Estonia seized one […]
The “deconfliction mechanism” that they’re reportedly discussing would likely be insufficient for resolving their security dilemma and might thus only delay what could be an inevitable clash. Israel and Turkiye held talks in Azerbaijan last week on the creation of a so-called “deconfliction mechanism” for preventing an accidental conflict between […]
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