Author: Daboul KOUTAIBA

US-Iran-Hormuz-Strait

The Hormuz Paradox: When “Deterrence” Fuels The Conflict It Seeks To Prevent

The latest confrontation around the Strait of Hormuz exposes a dangerous contradiction: measures intended to restore deterrence may be deepening the insecurity they promise to resolve. On September 8, Washington said it destroyed five Iranian oil tankers following missile attacks on an American warship. Tehran subsequently claimed attacks against ships […]

Egypt-Mecca-Defence-Agreement

Egypt Has Not Joined The Mecca Pact: The News Are Surprising, But The Reasons Are Pretty Deep And Numerous

Egypt!s absence from the Mecca Joint-Defense Agreement is striking precisely because Cairo is not an outsider to the emerging alignment. The agreement, signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan on 7 August 2026, establishes a collective-defense principle under which an armed attack against one member is considered an attack against […]

Middle-East-Saudi-Arabia-Turkey-Pakistan

The Mecca Defence Axis: Why Saudi Arabia, Türkiye And Pakistan Are Building A Strategic Bloc

The emerging Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish defense framework represents one of the most significant attempts in recent years to construct an autonomous security architecture linking the Middle East with South Asia. It is still premature to describe it as an “Islamic NATO,” because it lacks NATO’s permanent command structure, standardized operational doctrine and […]

Saudi-Arabia-Middle-East

Saudi Arabia At The Center Of Middle East: Managing Regional Stability And Containing Numerous Risks

Saudi Arabia’s importance to Middle Eastern stability can no longer be explained only through oil, military spending, or its alliance with the United States. Riyadh increasingly behaves as a regional system manager whose interests depend on limiting disorder. Vision 2030, foreign investment, tourism, logistics, and technology all require a predictable […]

Syria-Ahmed-Al-Sharaa-govenment-future

In-Depth Analysis: Strong On The Surface, Fragile Beneath: The Future Of Syria’s Current Regime (I)

As of August 2026, Syria’s government under President Ahmed Al-Sharaa appears considerably stronger than it did after Bashar al-Assad’s fall in December 2024. Damascus controls most major cities, has recovered important oil and gas fields, secured sanctions relief, joined the international coalition against “Islamic State” and established working relationships with […]

US-Iran-war

In-Depth Analysis: How The Prolonged War With Iran Is Directly Undermining American Power In The Middle East, And Beyond

As of July 23, 2026, the U.S. war with Iran has moved beyond the question of whether Washington can strike Iranian targets. It can. The United States has overwhelming military superiority in airpower, naval reach, intelligence, cyber operations, logistics, and precision weapons. The real question is whether this military superiority […]