Open Dialogue Research Journal
Israel’s defense minister stood before a map of southern Lebanon this week and described a fait accompli. More than 60 villages erased. Twenty-three thousand homes reduced to rubble. A 700-square-kilometer “security zone” carved into Lebanese territory, emptied of 200,000 Shiite residents, declared permanent until Hezbollah disarms. “We will not withdraw,” […]
This development is incredibly important since it could set into motion a sequence of US-mediated events for alleviating military-security tensions between E-NATO and Russia after the end of the Ukrainian Conflict per a grand deal between all parties. Finnish President Alexander Stubb and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store called […]
Putin is more serious than ever about this too for absolutely different reasons The surprise Russian-US diesel deal in early October represented the first bilateral agreement between them since 2022 and importantly didn’t include any terms related to Ukraine either. This in turn convinced observers, both adversarial and friendly alike, […]
After Musk and Trump already demonstrated that Ukraine’s use of Starlink/Starshield can be throttled in an instant, therefore risking the collapse of the entire front line if taken to the extreme of a full-scale shutdown, Zelensky might be more pliable to a peace deal with Putin. SpaceX founder Elon Musk […]
Saudi Arabia might be losing a war it cannot afford to fight and cannot afford to quit. The Houthis have turned the kingdom’s greatest strengths—its vast geography and its oil wealth into liabilities. The question is no longer whether Riyadh can win. It is how long it would lose before […]
While Steve Witkoff flies to St. Petersburg and offers Putin a three-way summit with Trump and Zelensky, Brussels is already counting who will speak to the Kremlin. If Europe ends up outside the room again, it will be left only to pay for someone else’s peace. Politico puts it bluntly: […]
The Ukrainian drone operation mounted against St. Petersburg on the night of October 17-18 has revived an awkward question that the Baltic governments and Helsinki have preferred to leave unexamined, which is whether such a large attacking force could possibly have reached its objectives without crossing NATO airspace. Russian sources […]
The conflict could freeze along the frontlines if the US coerces the EU and Ukraine into agreeing to the resumption of Russian energy imports through partially US-controlled pipelines while convincing Russia to agree to the deployment of European forces to Ukraine without the US’ Article 5 protection. Zelensky said that […]
Aleksandar Vučić gave an interview to Ksenia Sobchak in a strange position. He is no longer president, but not yet prime minister. The constitution does not allow a third presidential term—that is the whole reason for the “swap.” Putin, during their last conversation, did not ask “why are you leaving,” […]
In February 2027, it will be five years since the start of the special military operation. In the history of the Soviet Union and modern Russia, this armed conflict has no precedent in terms of its duration. Then, in April 2022, no one in Moscow could even imagine in the […]
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