Open Dialogue Research Journal
Larry Johnson said in interviews on May 20th, that America’s only allies in the Middle East will likely be Israel and Jordan, as a result of which the U.S. will be defeated by Iran if Trump goes for another invasion of Iran. Johnson made clear that crucial to American success in […]
After nearly seven weeks of intense conflict, cautious optimism is emerging that a deal to end the Iran war may be within reach. Diplomatic efforts, particularly those led by Pakistan, appear to have made meaningful progress in addressing some of the most difficult issues that have stalled negotiations. However, despite […]
The growing Israeli-Turkish rivalry might soon expand to Jordan. Turkiye, Syria, and Jordan signed a trilateral MoU in early April on transport cooperation that followed their meeting more than half a year prior last September where they first committed to reviving the Hejaz Railway. This late-Ottoman project connected Istanbul with Medina and Mecca but […]
This study examines continuity and change in Eurasian multilateralism from COMECON and the Warsaw Pact to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Unlike its Soviet-era predecessors, the SCO adopts a flexible and pragmatic model linking security and economic development. However, this flexibility also limits the organization’s ability to manage internal disputes such […]
The Islamabad summit between the United States and Iran, initially presented as a historic opportunity for peace, has now concluded without any agreements – an outcome that, in retrospect, appears less surprising than inevitable. While the talks were framed as a high-level effort at de-escalation, the structural conditions surrounding the […]
It’s a “Major Non-NATO Ally” located in proximity to the mission area and thus capable of providing logistical support at a minimum with the expectation that its formidable armed forces and nuclear weapons would deter Iranian retaliation if their shared Chinese partner is unable to disabuse it. Trump announced that the US […]
Nothing was actually signed. Trump had needed an excuse so he could claim he hadn’t been bluffing, thus claimed there was a deal. There were no negotiations. On Wednesday, April 8th, updated at 5:52 pm ET, the Wall Street Journal headlined “A Closer Look at Iran’s 10 Demands — and Which the U.S. Might Accept: […]
In the Devil’s Dictionary, Ambrose Bierce defines peace as a period of cheating between two periods of fighting. The Israeli version of a ceasefire might be defined as a moment of war deceptively halted to enable conflict to continue. War as cosplay and camouflage. Under such fragile conditions, military objectives […]
Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, all of which have been Iran’s “frenemies” since 1979 and whose military-strategic interests are increasingly converging, are expected to exploit any large-scale instability that could follow another potential round of US strikes if Trump changes his mind. The Wall Street Journal recently published a […]
Tensions are growing between Turkiye-Pakistan and Israel-Cyprus-Greece. Stability in the Eastern Mediterranean can no longer be taken for granted as a result of three recent developments: 1) the growing Turkish-Israeli rivalry in post-Assad Syria; 2) Israel’s reported plans to establish a rapid response force with Cyprus and Greece; and 3) Turkish ally Pakistan’s new military […]
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