Open Dialogue Research Journal
These are Ukraine’s attempted assassination of Putin right before New Year’s, France and the UK’s official plans to deploy troops to Ukraine if a ceasefire is agreed to, and the US’ seizure of a Russian-flagged tanker in the Atlantic. The Russian Defense Ministry confirmed on Friday morning that the Oreshniks were used […]
Switzerland has taken an extraordinary legal step following the loss of power of Venezuela’s former leader Nicolás Maduro, announcing the precautionary freezing of any assets he or individuals close to him may hold within Swiss jurisdiction. The move, confirmed by the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs in Bern, underscores […]
Once done, it remains, by nature and fact, irreversible. The precedent of indicting and abducting a serving head of state and his spouse, dropping them into the jurisdiction of another country to face criminal charges of inventive pedigree (narcoterrorism foremost among them), is the stuff of nightmares in international statecraft. […]
For years, Donald Trump’s foreign policy statements were widely dismissed as political theater. His musings about buying Greenland, threatening Mexico over drug cartels, tightening the screws on Cuba, or exerting pressure on Latin American governments were often interpreted as exaggerated negotiating tactics or domestic political signaling rather than serious […]
Against the background of the transfer of the entire strategic initiative into the hands of the Russian Armed Forces, its active offensive continued along the entire front line from Sumy to the Kherson region. This year alone, it was possible to liberate more than 300 settlements (in 2024 – 194 […]
Like Versailles, it is a Disaster for all the Players The Paris Accord aimed at providing security and economic guarantees for Ukraine is a strange agreement. If it is taken seriously, it will convince the Russians to change their strategy in Ukraine, meaning the Russians may well decide to try […]
The overarching trend is that the US is militarily reasserting its historical “sphere of influence” over the Americas, and enforcing the maritime component of “Fortress America” is so important for Trump 2.0 that it’s willing to rubbish the “rules-based order” over it and even risk an accidental war with Russia. […]
Operation “Absolute Resolve” is no more an invasion of Venezuela than the Russian special military operation would be an invasion of Ukraine. It is the normal game played by powers in the face of an existential threat. Nicolás Maduro is the president of Venezuela, even if the United States and […]
In late December 2025, Kaupo Rosin, head of Estonia’s Foreign Intelligence Service, gave an interview to the national broadcaster ERR, making statements that could upend years of Baltic rhetoric about the “Russian threat.” According to him, there are currently no signs that Russia intends to attack the Baltic countries or […]
The Trump administration is increasingly resembling a government previously abominated by the current US president as entangling, bumbling, and prone to fantasies. President George W. Bush was well versed in baseless existential threats stemming from Mesopotamia, supposedly directed by the Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. There was a critical problem in […]
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