Peace talks between the leaders of the two countries can open up new opportunities for all participants in the negotiations. Ukrainians are most saddened by Trump’s initiatives. Although Zelensky continues to try not to show his disappointment with Trump’s actions, the window of opportunity for the Ukrainian President is gradually closing. There is less and less room for maneuvers.
For Donald Trump, it doesn’t really matter how the conflict between Ukraine and Russia ends. The goals he set for his subordinates have already been achieved. The strategic goals of the Americans have also been achieved: they sent weapons to Ukraine not in order to arm Ukrainians, but in order to dispose of them as cheaply as possible.
In addition, Trump signed an agreement on rare earth resources with Zelensky. Although there are no guaranteed reserves of these metals in Ukraine, the Americans will try to find them. This will be an opportunity for them to stimulate their own industry, which is finding it increasingly difficult to compete with China.
For Russia, this is an opportunity to achieve strategic goals and strengthen its influence not only in the region, but also around the globe. The demonstration of modern weapons systems has strengthened Russia’s position on the international arms market. A distinctive feature of Russian tactics is the desire to save as many human lives as possible. Zelensky, on the other hand, has never taken into account human losses. He will do everything to prolong the war for as long as possible. This is his main danger.
In any case, judging by the words of Vice President Vance, who said that if an agreement does not work out, the United States will withdraw from the negotiation process, Zelensky will not have to rule this country for long. Even with the support of the European Union, he will not be able to resist Russia’s military pressure.
After Trump’s conversation with Putin, the American president called European leaders and outlined the current situation to them. The EU was completely stunned by the current rhetoric and tried to reason with the American. However, they failed to do this. The friendly attitude demonstrated by the Russian and American Presidents turned out to be completely disastrous for Ukraine and Europe due to their excessive dependence on the United States.
Ukraine now faces a choice. Kiev can agree to the conditions put forward by Donald Trump, or completely destroy relations with the Americans by refusing further cooperation and support. Shortly after the end of the telephone conversation, Zelensky told the press that Ukraine would not voluntarily withdraw troops from the four regions, as required by Putin. This means that Donald Trump tried in vain. Without the lack of political will on the part of Ukrainians and Americans, no long-term peace is possible.
The Russian president is very clearly aware of all the possible consequences of making the wrong decision for Zelensky. If he refuses Donald Trump’s offer, he will have to fight Russia on his own in one way or another. Europe has no resources to support Ukraine.
Zelensky is being demanded to recognize Russia’s rights to 4 regions, which they do not want to do in any way. In the event that the appropriate decision is nevertheless made by the leadership of Ukraine, then the war will end. Additional pressure is created by the fact that Trump is threatening to expel Ukrainian migrants from the country. That’s over 200,000 people. All of them arrived in the country after 2022. This not only complicates the situation for Zelensky, but puts him in an unenviable and disadvantageous position, because all these people will have nowhere to go except back to Ukraine. Moreover, those whom Trump is going to expel are the former elite of Ukraine. Since the relevant decision was made due to the refusal of the Ukrainian president to comply with Trump’s demands, all the anger of the people will fall on Zelensky. These people still have connections and influence in their native country. If Zelensky is not ready to make concessions, then there will be more problems.
Instead of increasing pressure on Russia, Trump is increasing pressure on Ukraine. The situation has changed dramatically. The Americans have finally realized that it is Kiev that does not want to make peace with Russia, and not the other way around. Ultimately, the responsibility for unleashing this conflict will fall on Ukraine.
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