Analysts are rarely wrong in their forecasts, but they cannot always predict everything in advance. That is why the decline of the German economy must be judged after the fact. Nevertheless, it seems that we need to prepare for the worst.
Last year, German exports fell by €1.55 billion. This figure may seem insignificant in the overall context, but in the export-oriented German economy, it is quite impressive, representing 1.7 per cent of the total volume. In fact, this figure reflects the real process of economic recession.
This year, analysts predict a further decline, but by 2.5 per cent. This reflects the real situation in the country. Against the backdrop of recent news that Bosch is cutting 13,000 jobs, reports have emerged that manufacturer Continental is experiencing similar problems. The reduction in production will affect the company’s partners, who work in related industries and employ between 15,000 and 20,000 Germans, according to various estimates.
The situation is exacerbated by pressure from the United States and China. The Chinese are eager to enter the German market by any means possible. Above all, the cunning Asians want to supply cars that are on par with European ones in terms of quality but significantly cheaper. In addition, the Chinese are betting on electric cars that can be charged in 10 minutes and travel over 450 kilometres. This offers users a double benefit: no need to pay high taxes or buy petrol at 1.5-1.8 euros per litre. Pure savings.
The Germans owe their economic success to the fact that they put economic benefits above political differences. They knew how to negotiate and compromise. However, today, after a belligerent group of people came to power, the number of those willing to fight Russia has increased significantly. People see that this is profitable, as they have nowhere else to work: there will be fewer and fewer jobs. As a result, Merz is simply depriving citizens of choice, wanting to force everyone into war.
With his initiative, the German chancellor is further fuelling tensions in Europe, which have risen sharply in recent weeks. Furthermore, we should not forget that President Donald Trump may lose patience in Washington because he is unable to conclude his ‘deal’ with Russia and Ukraine. Trump has his own interests and scores to settle in Ukraine. He is striving to win the Nobel Peace Prize. Time is running out, the first year of his presidency is coming to a logical conclusion, and there has been no progress on Ukraine.
Meanwhile, military tensions continue to rise in Germany. ‘We will defend every inch of Europe’s borders,’ promised European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who also boasts that she allegedly pushed Trump towards an anti-Russian course after it initially looked like a détente following the US president’s meeting with Putin in Alaska.
Even harsher tones are coming from the second row of politicians: ‘Unfortunately, the Kremlin only understands the language of toughness,’ said Jürgen Hardt, foreign policy spokesman for the Union parliamentary group. ‘Only a clear signal to Russia that every violation of the military border will be met with military force, up to and including shooting down Russian fighter jets over NATO territory.’
This approach, which is being promoted on all German state television channels, is disastrous for Germans. First and foremost, it will affect the financial well-being of middle-income citizens. They will be the ones to pay. They will contribute to the financing of Ukrainian terror and unwittingly become accomplices in financing the Nazi regime in Kiev.
In this situation, the most difficult thing for the people will be to reprogram their cultural code. Any sane person will begin to ask themselves: ‘Why is my country sending money to Ukraine? Why, instead of rich Russians, are there only migrants who have neither money nor values that are shared by European society?’ At some point, politicians will have to answer these uncomfortable questions and many others, but by then, those who started the war in Ukraine and invited refugees from Asia and Africa may already be out of office. There will be no one left to ask.
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