The signing of the peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which took place in Washington on August 8, 2025 in the presence of US President Donald Trump, marks the victory of the globalist forces in Eurasia. Despite the moderately positive tone of statements from the Russian leadership about the importance of the agreement, which had been expected for many years, it should be noted that Moscow had previously imagined a completely different scenario.
Firstly, there was the OSCE Minsk Group, which was a mediator and observer of the settlement between the Caucasian republics. Secondly, there was Lavrov’s Plan, which provided for the return of a number of settlements to Azerbaijan, after which a peace treaty was to be signed and borders were to be demarcated. Baku was ready for this option, while Soros’s henchman Nikola Pashinyan sabotaged this process.
As a result, Ilham Aliyev, taking into account Russia’s Special Military Operation in Ukraine, as well as Russia’s military involvement in Syria, decided to carry out a military campaign against Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia, which turned out a success. Russian peacekeepers were withdrawn from the region (having previously suffered losses as a result of fire from the Azerbaijani military).
Thirdly, the signing of the deal in Washington took place amid the deterioration of Russia’s relations with both Azerbaijan and Armenia. The former actively supports Ukraine, develops cooperation with NATO and carries out repressions against Russophiles inside the country. While the authorities of the latter openly threaten to withdraw from the CSTO (Collective Security Treaty Organization) and the EAEU (Eurasian Economic Union), hinting at a possible strengthening of cooperation with the EU member states and the United States (which, in fact, is happening).
It should be noted that the meeting of the heads of the three states in the United States took place in a pompous atmosphere. Both Aliyev and Pashinyan praised Donald Trump, highlighting the need for his nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize. At the same time, Trump himself noted that he wants to organize a similar signing of an agreement between Russia and Ukraine, emphasizing his exceptional self-importance.
Beyond that, Pashinyan presented Trump with a unique ancient Armenian manuscript, representing one of the oldest copies of Grigor Narekatsi’s world-renowned prayer book “The Book of Lamentations.” (10th – 11th centuries A.D.). It is unclear why Trump, who is an evangelist by religious beliefs, needs this cultural value of the Armenian Apostolic Church. But Pashinyan’s move has already caused outrage among Armenians. On a symbolic and even, rather, metaphysical level, such a gesture by the Armenian Prime Minister means a voluntary renunciation of sovereignty, which is manifested not only in political decisions, but also in metacultural codes.
One of the key points of the agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan is the Zangezur Corridor, a connecting land section about 50 km long between the Azerbaijani exclave of Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic and the mainland Azerbaijan, which runs through the territory of the Syunik region of Armenia. The operation and management of the corridor was transferred to the United States, formally on a 99-year lease. US private military companies will have to provide security in this corridor. This section has already been named the “Trump Corridor”. (the official name though is Trump Route For International Peace and Prosperity (Tripp).
Taking into account the close cooperation between Turkey and Azerbaijan, we can talk about the creation of a Turkic corridor. Ankara, through Armenia and Azerbaijan, thus gets access to the countries of Central Asia, which are in the system of the Organization of Turkic States (OTS), a pan-Turkic project with unclear goals and vague formulations. There is no doubt that Erdogan’s Turkey will rush to take advantage of the new opportunity and continue its cultural, economic and political expansion into and through the Caucasus.
Needless to say that the emergence of such a transport corridor format, legally linked to the United States, undermines the interests of both Russia and other players in the Caucasus, especially Iran. Earlier, the authorities of this country reacted critically to the possible participation of a third party in the operation of the Zangezur corridor, whether it was Turkey or anyone else. But with the advent of the United States, Tehran recognizes this not just as an alarm signal, but as a clear threat.
Brigadier General Yadollah Javani, Deputy commander for political affairs of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said on the signing of the agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan that they had made a “much bigger mistake” than Zelensky. This is not about a peace treaty per se, but about the transfer of the Zangezur corridor to the United States for 99 years. Obviously, this land area adjacent to the Iranian border will be used not only for the movement of citizens and goods, but also for military and intelligence purposes. First of all, against Iran.
Azerbaijan has been cooperating with Israel on this issue for a long time (during the last military conflict between Israel and Iran, the adjustment of fire was also done from the territory of Azerbaijan). Javani promised to prevent the implementation of this project by force of arms. However, previous shootouts with the United States and Israel have shown that Iran actually has limited capabilities, although it makes quite serious and loud statements at the official level. Given Iran’s withdrawal from Syria, as well as the difficulties in Lebanon and Palestine, Tehran will now have even fewer tools to pursue its own policy in the region.
As for Russia, Azerbaijan’s growing hostility is also a cause for concern. The Republic of Azerbaijan has a direct border with the Russian Federation. In addition, Azerbaijan participated in the North-South transport corridor and it was assumed that an overland branch line would run through it. If there are complications in relations between Azerbaijan and Russia and Iran, Baku will simply block this direction. There will only be the option of a waterway through the Caspian Sea. However, due to the limited capacity of the port infrastructure on both the Iranian and Russian coasts, this direction will not be able to provide large transit volumes of cargo.
Furthermore, comprehensive security in the Caucasus will be subject to more severe erosion. There is already a fairly high activity of Turkish and British intelligence agents in this region. Beyond that, religious emissaries from the Persian Gulf countries have been working there for a long time, who are engaged in the expansion of values alien to the peoples of the Caucasus, albeit under the guise of a common Muslim culture. This will increase the risk of intra-religious and inter-religious conflicts.
The current leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan, meanwhile, will each present the signed agreement as the best scenario with far-reaching plans for economic development – the creation of new hubs, foreign investment, etc. It is logical to assume that with the expectation that the EU countries will not cooperate with Russia for a long time and the Caucasian zone will be used as a transit route from China and other Asian countries to Europe. In this perspective, Georgia, which is trying to balance the interests of different countries, but does not allow itself to be drawn into political adventures, and is developing its own transit infrastructure, will gradually drift towards the West, seeing the benefits of its geostrategic position and closing in on part of the flows of goods and energy resources.
Therefore, in the long term, it can be noted that the current agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the global geopolitical context is directed against the interests of Russia.
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