Open Dialogue Research Journal
Russia wants to avoid falling into the UK’s trap for sabotaging its rapprochement with the US by credibly threatening military force against Estonia in response to this provocation, but Putin’s patience might run out if the US is unable or unwilling to prevent its partners from staging repeat incidents. Estonia seized one […]
The “deconfliction mechanism” that they’re reportedly discussing would likely be insufficient for resolving their security dilemma and might thus only delay what could be an inevitable clash. Israel and Turkiye held talks in Azerbaijan last week on the creation of a so-called “deconfliction mechanism” for preventing an accidental conflict between […]
Miroshnik and Zakharova said different things last week about these peacekeepers’ real purpose and their degree of coordination with Kiev in the unlikely scenario of them being deployed to Ukraine. Astute observers might have been confused after two seemingly contradictory claims by Russian diplomats last week about the scenario of […]
Interoperability issues could make the US think twice about intervening in the EU’s support against Russia. “Trump Is Unlikely To Pull All US Troops Out Of Central Europe Or Abandon NATO’s Article 5”, but he’s definitely “Pivoting (back) to Asia” in order to more muscularly contain China, which will have […]
Creative economic diplomacy was the key to getting their increasingly stalled talks back on track. Russian Special Presidential Envoy Kirill Dmitriev, who’s also the CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund, paid a visit to DC last week to continue negotiations with the US over bilateral ties and Ukraine. His […]
The odds of everything perfectly unfolding – the UNSC agreeing to have the UN assume control only over “rump Ukraine” and without Kiev’s consent (thus amounting to tacit recognition of Russia’s claims), the UN speedily assembling the large-scale resources required, and then successfully neutralizing all armed Ukrainian resistance – are […]
The staggering scale of Ukraine’s military losses likely isn’t reflected in its voter lists, which Zelensky might thus exploit to fraudulently help him win re-election through an avalanche of fake votes. The Economist cited unnamed Ukrainian sources over the weekend to report that Zelensky might be planning to run for re-election […]
A compromise is possible whereby the Europeans are pressured by the US into stockpiling their Ukrainian-destined arms in Poland and Romania for swift shipment across the border if hostilities re-erupt sometime after a ceasefire, armistice, or peace treaty is agreed to. The official Kremlin readout from Putin’s most recent phone call with […]
What’s most important is that Putin and Trump trust one another, their representatives have excellent working relations with each other, and these two leaders are aware of the challenges posed by Ukraine and Europe. Russia and the US confirmed their mutual intent on Tuesday to revive the grain deal, though Russia’s statement conditioned […]
Readers can learn a lot about his administration’s internal policymaking dynamics, its relationship with Israel, and its overall approach towards the Yemeni Conflict. The Atlantic’s Editor in Chief Jeffrey Goldberg revealed that he was accidentally added by National Security Advisor Mike Waltz to a secret Signal chat that saw other leading national […]
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