A compromise is possible whereby the Europeans are pressured by the US into stockpiling their Ukrainian-destined arms in Poland and Romania for swift shipment across the border if hostilities re-erupt sometime after a ceasefire, armistice, or peace treaty is agreed to. The official Kremlin readout from Putin’s most recent phone call with […]
Author: Andrew KORYBKO
The Grain Deal’s Revival Would Bring Russia & Ukraine Closer To A Full Ceasefire
What’s most important is that Putin and Trump trust one another, their representatives have excellent working relations with each other, and these two leaders are aware of the challenges posed by Ukraine and Europe. Russia and the US confirmed their mutual intent on Tuesday to revive the grain deal, though Russia’s statement conditioned […]
The Domestic & International Implications Of The Trump Team’s Yemeni War Plans Scandal
Readers can learn a lot about his administration’s internal policymaking dynamics, its relationship with Israel, and its overall approach towards the Yemeni Conflict. The Atlantic’s Editor in Chief Jeffrey Goldberg revealed that he was accidentally added by National Security Advisor Mike Waltz to a secret Signal chat that saw other leading national […]
Putin’s Senior Aide Patrushev Shared Some Updates About The Arctic & Baltic Fronts
The Arctic front of the New Cold War is thawing a lot quicker than the Baltic one since the first is where the US could prospectively cooperate with Russia while the second is where the UK could try to provoke a crisis with Russia. Putin’s senior aide Nikolai Patrushev, who […]
Why’d Russia Only Just Now Decree That Ukrainians Must Legalize Their Presence Or Leave?
This suggests that Russia expects a political settlement or at least an armistice within the next six months so it’s now prioritizing the further legitimization of its control over the new regions by finally completing their legal integration into the country at the local administrative level by 10 September. Putin […]
The Baltic States’ & Poland’s Withdrawal From The Ottawa Convention Won’t Change Much
Russia isn’t a signatory nor does it plan to invade any of those four countries. The Baltic States’ and Poland’s Defense Ministers issued a joint statement on Tuesday announcing that their countries are withdrawing from the Anti-Personnel Mine Ban Convention (Ottawa Convention) in response to what they portrayed as new threats from […]
Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 Megaproject Could Figure Into A Future Deal With The US
Russian and Chinese interests don’t align on this particular issue and the dynamics associated with it. Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that “Russia Is Wooing Arctic Gas Buyers With Life After US Sanctions”. They cited unnamed sources to report that Novatek, the company behind the Arctic LNG 2 megaproject, is courting […]
Trump Would Lead The World By Example If He Recognized Crimea As Russian
Trump might recognize Crimea as Russian not because he might think that it’s the right thing to do, but as a clever tactic for encouraging Russia to pragmatically compromise with Kiev, though it would still be a political, economic, and military game-changer for the reasons explained in this analysis. Semafor cited […]
Poland’s Talk About Obtaining Nukes Is Likely A Misguided Negotiation Tactic With The US
The last thing that Trump wants is for the US to be drawn back into another war with Russia after “Pivoting (back) to Asia”, let alone a direct one instead of the proxy war that they’ve recently resolved to end, but the chances of this happening would spike if Poland […]
Russia Should Consider Accepting Syria’s Alawites As Refugees
Russia would remove what the interim Syrian authorities consider to be a “problem” from their hands, it could more quickly settle its new regions, and their ongoing base talks would no longer be overshadowed by these atrocities. The latest sectarian violence in Syria killed almost 1,000 members of the Alawite minority at […]
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