It’s unimaginable that the US would allow any competitor to reduce its enormous new market share in the European energy industry, which it plans to further expand to make Europe even more dependent on it, and that the US wouldn’t weaponize this if Europe ever defies it on anything of […]
Author: Andrew KORYBKO
Any New Strategic Arms Control Pact Between Russia & The US Hinges On China’s Participation
The US’ retention of its nuclear superiority vis-à-vis China is non-negotiable, so it’ll either unilaterally maintain its existing edge outside of strategic arms control pacts or institutionalize it through a new such pact involving China. A global nuclear arms race is possible after Trump let the New START, the hitherto last remaining […]
What Are The Odds Of Russia Agreeing To A Three-Tiered Ceasefire Enforcement Plan In Ukraine?
It’s suppositionally possible that the Financial Times’ report becomes reality, but to be absolutely clear, this is pure guesswork and it’s much more likely that Russia won’t agree to that. The US signaled its support for NATO troops in Ukraine last month after Trump’s Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared […]
Russia’s Interests In Syria Go Far Beyond Retaining Its Air & Naval Bases
They’re all connected to its role in jointly building the “New Syria”. Syrian President Ahmed “Jolani” al-Sharaa’s second trip to Moscow in several months was widely interpreted as having to do with the future of Russia’s air and naval bases there. That may be true, especially since they play a practically irreplaceable logistical role […]
The US Is On The Brink Of Subordinating Cuba
The immediate goal of the US’ de facto oil embargo on Cuba is a “regime tweaking” that achieves at least some of Trump’s demanded foreign policy goals and initiates a phased regime change that averts the impending US-instigated humanitarian crisis which could spill into Florida ahead of the midterms. Trump […]
Five Insights Into The Trilateral Russian-Ukrainian-US Talks
Russia’s agreement to this format represents a significant policy shift. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that the second round of the trilateral Russian-Ukrainian-US talks in Abu Dhabi will be held on 1 February. There haven’t been many leaks from the first round so observers can only speculate about the subject and significance […]
The Minneapolis Insurgency Poses A Very Serious Challenge For The Federal Government
Folks can acknowledge that this is indeed an insurgency regardless of their opinion about it. Elon Musk shared a post by Eric Schwalm, a retired Green Beret, who argued that the unrest in Minneapolis should be considered an insurgency. For background, Immigration & Customs Enforcement (ICE) and the Border Patrol (BP) have been tasked by […]
Iran’s “Balkanization” Is Unlikely But Still Can’t Be Ruled Out
Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, all of which have been Iran’s “frenemies” since 1979 and whose military-strategic interests are increasingly converging, are expected to exploit any large-scale instability that could follow another potential round of US strikes if Trump changes his mind. The Wall Street Journal recently published a […]
Lavrov Exposed The Europeans’ Plot To Subvert Trump’s Ukrainian Peace Plan
Astute observers can read between the lines and discern Russia’s displeasure with him too. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s first press conference of the year in late January touched upon a lot of topics, importantly including the Europeans’ plot to subvert Trump’s Ukrainian peace plan. According to him, the UK “is speaking […]
The Board Of Peace: A Replacement To The UN Or A US-Led Coalition Of The Willing Therein?
Putin might accept Trump’s invitation to participate in order to avoid offending him and not lose a seat at the table where members provide input on US policy towards settling various conflicts. Kremlin spokesmen Dmitry Peskov confirmed that the US invited Putin to join the Board of Peace, which refers to the UNSC-endorsed […]






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