Trump 2.0 must become aware of the threat that the UK poses to its plans and respond accordingly to defend the US’ interests. Russia’s Foreign Spy Service (SVR) accused the UK of trying to sabotage the nascent Russian–US “New Détente” for self-interested geopolitical reasons. According to their sources, the success of their talks could break the […]
Author: Andrew KORYBKO
Will Putin Agree To A Ceasefire?
There are five compelling arguments for either scenario. Ukraine just agreed to a month-long ceasefire after talks with the US in Jeddah, but it’s conditional on Russia agreeing to the same, which remains uncertain. Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to pay his second trip to Moscow in just as many months later this […]
Five Takeaways From The Latest Sectarian Violence In Syria
The most likely scenario is that the Kristallnacht-like massacre of Alawites goes unpunished and the rebellion by some of the victims’ co-religionists is decisively defeated. Syria was rocked by sectarian violence in recent days after the interim authorities and their foreign allies massacred members of the Alawite minority en masse in response […]
The “ReArm Europe Plan” Will Probably Fall Far Short Of The Bloc’s Lofty Expectations
The estimated €800 billion in defense spending that’s supposed to follow in the next four years might sound impressive, but it becomes much less so when considering the difficulties in optimizing this. The EU swiftly responded to Trump’s decision to freeze all military aid to Ukraine by having European Commission President Ursula […]
Analyzing Trump’s Latest Sanctions Threat Against Russia
The problem appears to be that there isn’t yet enough trust between Russia and the US to fully overcome their security dilemma in spite of the impressive progress that’s been made thus far. Trump surprised friends and foes alike when he posted the following on Friday: “Based on the fact that Russia […]
Ukraine Already Kinda Has Article 5 Guarantees From Some NATO Countries
Considering that Article 5 always left the option of armed force up to each individual member, which remains the case with each of the bilateral “security guarantees” that Ukraine reached with some of them over the past year, Meloni’s dramatic proposal doesn’t actually amount to anything new. Italian Prime Minister […]
France, Germany, & Poland Are Competing For Leadership Of Post-Conflict Europe
The interplay between them, Russia, and the US will determine the continent’s future security architecture. French President Macron’s declaration on Wednesday that he’s flirting with extending his country’s nuclear umbrella over other continental allies shows that he’s throwing down the gauntlet to Germany and Poland for leadership of post-conflict Europe. Outgoing German Chancellor […]
Will Ukraine’s Future Be As A ‘Buffer State’ Or A ‘Bridge State’?
This scenario is increasingly in America and Russia’s shared interests vis-à-vis their “New Détente”. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban predicted late last month that “Ukraine, or what remains of it, will once again be a buffer zone” between NATO and Russia once the conflict inevitably ends. His rationale is that it’ll be […]
Five Takeaways From Trump’s Fateful Decision To Freeze All Military Aid To Ukraine
Transatlantic ties, Russian-US relations, and the nature of American hegemony are all transforming before everyone’s eyes as Trump makes bold moves to force Zelensky to the peace table with Putin. An unnamed senior Defense Department told the media on Monday evening that Trump decided to freeze all military aid to Ukraine until […]
Nord Stream Is Back In The News As Part Of Grand Deal Between Russia & The West
What’s being tabled right now is pretty much what was proposed in a briefing from early January. The Financial Times (FT) reported over the weekend that “Putin ally pushes deal to restart Nord Stream 2 with US backing” in reference to his decades-long close friend Matthias Warnig’s alleged efforts. The gist is […]
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