Open Dialogue Research Journal
Neither average Russians nor the elite are capable of influencing Putin, who’s the only person on the Russian side that decides when the Ukrainian Conflict ends and on what terms, and not even a radical spike in Ukrainian strikes is likely to convince him to de facto surrender like Zelensky […]
Some understanding was clearly agreed to at Anchorage even though it wasn’t an “official” one, but Trump reneged on his commitments, so Rubio is playing dumb by denying that any agreement existed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio responded to three high-level Russian officials’ claims that the US had reneged on the “Spirit […]
The US is preparing to radically intensify the Ukrainian Conflict over the coming year. Trump’s decision to sign the “G7 leaders’ joint statement on geopolitical issues” calling for more arms to Ukraine and sanctions on Russia signaled that he’ll now “escalate to de-escalate” (E2DE) through a “war of attrition” waged […]
It can now be concluded that Zelensky began meddling in Poland against Nawrocki even before he revoked the Order of the White Eagle from him, which in turn suggests that more politically unfriendly moves will follow and potentially come to characterize their ties by fall 2027’s next Sejm elections. Zelensky […]
Russia can’t allow US-backed Ukraine to attack Belarus with impunity otherwise it risks losing its closest ally, whether to destruction or Lukashenko’s “defection” to the West, either scenario of which would shift the strategic balance of power in the Ukrainian Conflict to Russia’s supreme disadvantage. Zelensky gave Lukashenko one week […]
It’s understandably more important for him to avoid a major war than to maintain his personal pride at the possible expense of his life if the aforesaid worst-case scenario then materializes due to him putting his ego over national interests. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko recently gave an hour-long interview to Al Arabiya […]
He might be subtly channeling his compatriots’ speculative dislike of the special operation. Lukashenko reaffirmed in early June amidst escalating tensions with Ukraine that Belarus has no intent to go to war with it. In his words, “Should we go fight in Ukraine according to someone else’s will? Do we want to be […]
AI-assisted infowars could psychologically sever the former USSR’s Turkic populations from Russia. FSB chief Alexander Bortnikov warned during a recent meeting of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Council of Heads of Security Agencies and Special Services that “The West seeks to disrupt integration processes and undermine stability in CIS […]
The likelihood that it secretly installed sensors in Ukraine to monitor its northern drone strikes is nil so it was either informed by Ukraine or at least the Baltic States across whose airspace the drones are credibly speculated by many in Russia to have passed. Finnish Defense Minister Antti Hakkanen […]
Subordination to the West is unthinkable since Putin would never approve of that, nor would the state and society go along with it, so the only real scenarios are stalled talks or Russian muscle-flexing breaking the deadlock. Finnish President Alexander Stubb’s positive response to the scenario of him being designated by the […]
Comments