Open Dialogue Research Journal
Putin is more serious than ever about this too for absolutely different reasons The surprise Russian-US diesel deal in early October represented the first bilateral agreement between them since 2022 and importantly didn’t include any terms related to Ukraine either. This in turn convinced observers, both adversarial and friendly alike, […]
After Musk and Trump already demonstrated that Ukraine’s use of Starlink/Starshield can be throttled in an instant, therefore risking the collapse of the entire front line if taken to the extreme of a full-scale shutdown, Zelensky might be more pliable to a peace deal with Putin. SpaceX founder Elon Musk […]
Xi reasonably doesn’t want to freeze the gap between China and the US, but unless he does so, a nuclear arms race with the likely participation of several middle powers like Japan is possible. The White House’s fact sheet that was published after Xi’s visit to the US in September […]
The conflict could freeze along the frontlines if the US coerces the EU and Ukraine into agreeing to the resumption of Russian energy imports through partially US-controlled pipelines while convincing Russia to agree to the deployment of European forces to Ukraine without the US’ Article 5 protection. Zelensky said that […]
Russia could legally transfer ownership of its frozen assets to the US, which would then be returned to Russia in exchange for US stakes in its energy industry that could also deter Ukrainian attacks against it, but Trump will first have to obtain what would then be the US’ frozen […]
It represents a pragmatic balance of interests between all sides. The Washington Post reported that Trump’s Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are working on a four-part peace plan for resolving the Ukrainian Conflict. The first part concerns Ukraine’s reconstruction in which BlackRock and the World Bank would take […]
Since China declined to radically accelerate multipolarity by defying the US’ sanctions against Russia and cutting Ukraine off from drone-related sales, it’s poetic justice for Russia to radically exacerbate the US’ pressure campaign against China through a resource-centric rapprochement with the US that will derail China’s superpower trajectory. Trump announced […]
The containment noose around Russia’s western and southern flanks might eventually tighten. Zelensky launched the Carpathian Eight (C8, also the Carpathian Integration Initiative) during a summit in late September. This platform was supposed to include Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Austria, Serbia, Romania, and Hungary, but the latter’s leader later denied that […]
Regardless of however the “friendly competition” evolves between Germany and Poland over leading NATO 3.0 , one thing is certain, and it’s that US-led creative energy diplomacy will likely shape the post-war European security architecture. Reuters cited five unnamed sources to report that US Special Envoy for Russia Jared Kushner […]
Russia might be reluctant to sell lethal equipment to the Taliban amidst its ongoing undeclared war with Pakistan despite the threat posed by ISIS-K to Afghanistan due to concern that they could be used in that conflict at the expense of the hard-earned Russian-Pakistani rapprochement in recent years. The Afghan […]
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