Open Dialogue Research Journal
Armenia’s potential replacement of low-cost Russian grain with more expensive Ukrainian grain could worsen its already difficult financial situation and thus prompt Azerbaijan and/or Turkiye to propose a bailout in exchange for further sovereignty concessions in its strategic southern province of Syunik. Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) reported that Armenia plans to replace low-cost […]
Italy’s potential extradition of a Ukrainian suspect to Germany could lead to a highly publicized (and predictably politicized) trial that implicates Poland in this unprecedented attack on a fellow NATO ally. The Wall Street Journal recently published a detailed piece about “The Nord Stream Investigation That’s Splintering Europe Over Ukraine”. […]
The most that might happen is a cabinet reshuffle since the SBU has no reason to support regime change against the man who unprecedentedly empowered them, nor does Trump since Zelensky does what he demands, but this scandal still discredits him and his government more than they already are. A major […]
The sanctions exemption was extended as a quid pro quo for Hungary incorporating itself into Poland’s US-backed regional integration plans, which necessitates gradually ditching Russian energy. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban posted on X that “We secured full, unlimited exemption from sanctions on the TurkStream and Druzhba pipelines, guaranteeing uninterrupted and affordable […]
Putin must decide whether to reach a deal with Trump over this for escalation-management purposes or climb the escalation ladder by authorizing strikes against those troops if they deploy there. Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) reported that France is plotting to deploy up to 2,000 soldiers, the core of which will be […]
Federalizing the EU, not the political fantasy of defeating Russia, is the real goal, which requires another four years of proxy warfare and at least another $400 billion to complete. The Economist argued that the EU and the UK should meet Ukraine’s estimated $390 billion financing needs over the next four […]
The question arises of why Russia’s regional partners are going along with this in the first place. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned last week that “NATO and the EU are building their own dialogues and interaction frameworks with Central Asia and South Caucasus. I don’t think anyone can see hidden agendas […]
Putin is once again extending an olive branch to Zelensky and Trump in his latest goodwill gesture because he truly doesn’t want the conflict to drag on nor to expand Russia’s territorial claims as would likely then happen. Putin announced that more than ten thousand Ukrainian troops were encircled in Kupyansk and Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk), […]
It might succeed in terms of optics, but this won’t make any substantive difference in reality. The US’ latest sanctions against Russia, the first under the second Trump Administration, are intended less as a weapon against the Russian economy and more as a means of weaponizing energy geopolitics in a bid to break apart […]
Ukrainian ultra-nationalists could exploit his pretext of a “just, defensive war” to falsely legitimize a terrorist campaign in southeastern Poland, whose land they regard as their own and whose local East Slavs they claim were ethnically cleansed after World War II, on “historical justice” grounds. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria […]
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