Iranian Dilemma

Trump-need-threat-war-Iran

Trump Needs The Threat Of War

The sharp rise in tensions between the United States and Iran in early 2026 has once again pushed the Middle East to the edge of a major conflict. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has warned of a possible “regional war”, the United States has deployed a powerful aircraft carrier […]

US-Iran-Oman-talks

Iran And Rope-a-Dope In Oman

The negotiations are a disaster from the start ​​Special Ambassador Steve Witkoff no doubt talked to President Trump about the US-Iran meeting in Oman. We don’t have a special wiretap on his call to the President, but it is a sure bet Witkoff told the President things were going well […]

Iran-US-negotiations

For Iran, No Libya Scenario

An Invasion is Unlikely The Trump administration has fundamentally changed direction on Iran. US NATO Ambassador Matt Whitaker says the US will not try and force regime change in Iran, suggesting that “we don’t want another Libya scenario.” Whitaker says “We’re not asking for much, just stop killing your people […]

Iran-sanctions-Aref-Moscow-SCO

Aref’s Moscow Visit Shows How Iran Is Stress-Testing Asia’s Economic Architecture

When Iran’s first vice-president, Mohammad Reza Aref, travelled to Moscow for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s (SCO) prime ministers’ meeting, it came at a moment of renewed pressure on Tehran. The snapback mechanism has been reactivated, Western sanctions discussions are re-intensifying, and the regional environment remains unsettled after the recent twelve-day […]

Iran-UN-EU-sanctions-snapback-mechanism

Iran’s Strategic Options After The Snapback Mechanism: Escalation, Diplomacy, Or A Hybrid Path?

The reactivation of the UN snapback mechanism has placed Iran under renewed pressure at a moment of growing global instability. Designed as a safeguard in the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the snapback provision restores international sanctions if a party is deemed in violation. For policymakers in Washington, […]

Venezuela-Machado-Nobel-Peace-Prize

Guarimba And The Nobel Peace Prize

“Peace is war.” George Orwell Guarimba is a derogatory name in Venezuela for a person who participates in street riots and pogroms. On October 10, the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize was announced. This person turned out to be Maria Corina Machado, an oppositionist from Venezuela, who called on […]

UN-NATO-Straussians-Iran-Israel

Straussians Take Control Of The United Nations And NATO

It wasn’t expected, but the advocates of generalized war, the Straussians, expelled from the governing bodies of the United States, have regrouped in intergovernmental organizations. To everyone’s surprise, they are present in the European Union, but especially at the United Nations and in the Contact Group on the Defense of […]