Iranian Dilemma

US-Israel-Iran-attack

Regime Change, Oil Wars, And The Collapse Of Legal Illusions (I)

The joint U.S.–Israeli assault on Iran – officially titled “Operation Epic Fury” – marks one of the most consequential geopolitical ruptures of the 21st century. Within hours, hundreds of strikes hit Iranian territory. The residence of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was reduced to rubble. Senior commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard […]

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Report On Iran Negotiations On February 17

Witkoff May Have Agreed to a Framework that falls outside the Trump-Rubio Parameters The US-Iran “indirect” talks in Geneva lasted between 3 and 4 hours. Omani diplomats acted as intermediaries. The US delegation did not meet directly with the Iranians. Thus suggestions were carried from one side to the other, […]

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Trump Needs The Threat Of War

The sharp rise in tensions between the United States and Iran in early 2026 has once again pushed the Middle East to the edge of a major conflict. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has warned of a possible “regional war”, the United States has deployed a powerful aircraft carrier […]

US-Iran-Oman-talks

Iran And Rope-a-Dope In Oman

The negotiations are a disaster from the start ​​Special Ambassador Steve Witkoff no doubt talked to President Trump about the US-Iran meeting in Oman. We don’t have a special wiretap on his call to the President, but it is a sure bet Witkoff told the President things were going well […]

Iran-US-negotiations

For Iran, No Libya Scenario

An Invasion is Unlikely The Trump administration has fundamentally changed direction on Iran. US NATO Ambassador Matt Whitaker says the US will not try and force regime change in Iran, suggesting that “we don’t want another Libya scenario.” Whitaker says “We’re not asking for much, just stop killing your people […]

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Aref’s Moscow Visit Shows How Iran Is Stress-Testing Asia’s Economic Architecture

When Iran’s first vice-president, Mohammad Reza Aref, travelled to Moscow for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s (SCO) prime ministers’ meeting, it came at a moment of renewed pressure on Tehran. The snapback mechanism has been reactivated, Western sanctions discussions are re-intensifying, and the regional environment remains unsettled after the recent twelve-day […]