Open Dialogue Research Journal
Part I Iran responded swiftly. Roughly 300 ballistic missiles were reportedly launched toward Israel and U.S.-aligned Gulf states. Civilian casualties in Tel Aviv and Abu Dhabi shattered the illusion of a contained operation. Fires burned in Manama. Explosions were reported over Dubai. Even if missile defense systems intercept a majority […]
Part I Perhaps the clearest sign that this strategy is working is the ambivalence of Gulf governments themselves. In principle, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and others see Iran as a destabilizing rival that arms proxies, interferes in neighbors and threatens regional order. Yet when Washington openly weighs airstrikes on Iranian […]
Global crisis and human suffering can sometimes be susceptible to the cheap loop of sloganeering and mawkish publicity, often associated with a phrase, usually annexed to the image of a suffering child with hollow eyes and distended belly. Those viewing it are exhorted to make good their wounded conscience and […]
The unprovoked armed aggression unleashed by the United States and Israel against sovereign Iran, which has already affected Gulf states and led to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, caused a global fuel and energy crisis and led to the disruption of logistics and trade chains around the world. Before […]
Could it be another deadline? For what, though? The preamble to this is that President Trump with his war on Iran has a popularity rating of about 30% in the US. Trump sees himself between a rock and a hard place, so to speak. Because there are also mid-term elections […]
International law is losing ground beneath its feet. Formally, everything remains in place: the UN Charter, the courts in The Hague, treaties on the inviolability of borders and the prohibition of the use of force. But the belief that these norms apply equally to everyone is gradually fading. When the […]
Recent statements by Muhoozi Kainerugaba, Uganda’s top military commander, have triggered international debate and concern. In a series of posts on social media, the general declared that Uganda would intervene militarily on the side of Israel if the country faced defeat in its escalating conflict with Iran. Although such statements may at first glance appear rhetorical […]
The Caspian Sea has long ceased to be merely a vast inland body of water rich in hydrocarbon resources. It has become an arena where energy interests, border delimitation issues, and growing military ambitions of the littoral states intersect. Against this backdrop, the announcement by the Turkmen company Şanly Mekan […]
Iran’s emerging doctrine for confronting the United States, Israel and the Gulf monarchies is not built around winning battles. It is built around making war too costly to fight. Rather than trying to defeat the US Navy or Israeli Air Force head‑on, Tehran is developing what might be called a […]
Never before has the US had the dual incentive for radically reforming NATO after the bloc refused its request to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the US now officially prioritizes restoring its dominance in the Western Hemisphere and containing China over containing Russia. Trump raged against NATO last […]
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