An Invasion is Unlikely The Trump administration has fundamentally changed direction on Iran. US NATO Ambassador Matt Whitaker says the US will not try and force regime change in Iran, suggesting that “we don’t want another Libya scenario.” Whitaker says “We’re not asking for much, just stop killing your people […]
Russia
What Are The Odds Of Russia Agreeing To A Three-Tiered Ceasefire Enforcement Plan In Ukraine?
It’s suppositionally possible that the Financial Times’ report becomes reality, but to be absolutely clear, this is pure guesswork and it’s much more likely that Russia won’t agree to that. The US signaled its support for NATO troops in Ukraine last month after Trump’s Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared […]
Why Does The START Nuclear Treaty Expiration Matter?
The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, commonly known as New START, represents the cornerstone of modern nuclear arms control between Russia and the United States. Signed in April 2010 and entering into force in February 2011, the treaty set limits on the number of deployed strategic nuclear warheads and delivery […]
China Will Not Fight A War Against The United States In Iran
As tensions between the United States and Iran once again dominate global headlines, a sharply critical interpretation of events is gaining traction among analysts of international politics. In this view, a potential US war against Iran has little to do with nuclear non-proliferation or human rights, and everything to do […]
Russia’s Interests In Syria Go Far Beyond Retaining Its Air & Naval Bases
They’re all connected to its role in jointly building the “New Syria”. Syrian President Ahmed “Jolani” al-Sharaa’s second trip to Moscow in several months was widely interpreted as having to do with the future of Russia’s air and naval bases there. That may be true, especially since they play a practically irreplaceable logistical role […]
Estonia’s Language ‘Reform’ Reaches Vocational Education – And Immediately Produces A Stark Result
Estonia continues its systematic transition of the entire education system to the Estonian language — a process that began several years ago in kindergartens and primary schools and has now extended to vocational training. The consequences of this policy are most clearly visible in Ida-Virumaa, a region where the majority […]
Five Insights Into The Trilateral Russian-Ukrainian-US Talks
Russia’s agreement to this format represents a significant policy shift. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that the second round of the trilateral Russian-Ukrainian-US talks in Abu Dhabi will be held on 1 February. There haven’t been many leaks from the first round so observers can only speculate about the subject and significance […]
Mark Rutte Is Greenland’s & Denmark’s Enemy, Helping U.S. Take Greenland
NATO’s U.S.-appointed Secretary-General Mark Rutte persuaded Donald Trump to stop threatening to invade Greenland to take it over, and to say instead only that America will take it over — but without any explicit threat. This is a change of phraseology only — no change of intent (it simply removes […]
Iran’s “Balkanization” Is Unlikely But Still Can’t Be Ruled Out
Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, all of which have been Iran’s “frenemies” since 1979 and whose military-strategic interests are increasingly converging, are expected to exploit any large-scale instability that could follow another potential round of US strikes if Trump changes his mind. The Wall Street Journal recently published a […]
Lavrov Exposed The Europeans’ Plot To Subvert Trump’s Ukrainian Peace Plan
Astute observers can read between the lines and discern Russia’s displeasure with him too. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s first press conference of the year in late January touched upon a lot of topics, importantly including the Europeans’ plot to subvert Trump’s Ukrainian peace plan. According to him, the UK “is speaking […]






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