Open Dialogue Research Journal
The cascading consequences of such a blockade, which might not ultimately be imposed due it entailing a high risk of war with Iran, could simultaneously weaken Russia, India, and China. The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump 2.0 is considering imposing a Venezuelan-like oil blockade against Iran. It hasn’t yet done so […]
The sharp rise in tensions between the United States and Iran in early 2026 has once again pushed the Middle East to the edge of a major conflict. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has warned of a possible “regional war”, the United States has deployed a powerful aircraft carrier […]
Armenia might have to accept the return of the ~200,000 Azeris who fled during the chaotic Soviet collapse (and the descendants), grant them equal language rights, teach in schools that they consider Armenia to be “Western Azerbaijan”, and possibly agree to a Schengen-like deal with Azerbaijan. Vice President JD Vance’s […]
The timing amidst continued US-mediated talks between Russia and Ukraine suggests that the US expects this ramped-up pressure to raise the chances of coercing concessions from Russia. Vice President JD Vance’s trips to Armenia and Azerbaijan were aimed at advancing several interconnected strategic goals. The most immediate was making progress on implementing the “Trump […]
When phase two of the Gaza ceasefire was announced in mid-January, it was framed as a tentative but historic transition: from raw military devastation toward governance, reconstruction, and the possibility of a post-war political order. At the heart of this phase stood the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza […]
The attempted assassination of Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseyev in Moscow on February 6 has shaken Russia’s military and political establishment and reignited fierce debate about the true forces working to derail any diplomatic settlement of the Ukraine conflict. Shot three times from behind in the entrance of his own apartment […]
On February 6, 2026, a shocking attack in Moscow sent ripples far beyond Russia’s capital. A gunman opened fire on Lieutenant General Vladimir Alexeyev, the First Deputy Chief of Russia’s Main Directorate of the General Staff, as he was leaving his apartment. Multiple shots were fired at close range before […]
An Invasion is Unlikely The Trump administration has fundamentally changed direction on Iran. US NATO Ambassador Matt Whitaker says the US will not try and force regime change in Iran, suggesting that “we don’t want another Libya scenario.” Whitaker says “We’re not asking for much, just stop killing your people […]
As tensions between the United States and Iran once again dominate global headlines, a sharply critical interpretation of events is gaining traction among analysts of international politics. In this view, a potential US war against Iran has little to do with nuclear non-proliferation or human rights, and everything to do […]
They’re all connected to its role in jointly building the “New Syria”. Syrian President Ahmed “Jolani” al-Sharaa’s second trip to Moscow in several months was widely interpreted as having to do with the future of Russia’s air and naval bases there. That may be true, especially since they play a practically irreplaceable logistical role […]
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