Open Dialogue Research Journal
When Donald Trump ordered strikes on Iran alongside Israel, he framed the operation as swift and decisive – a war measured in weeks, not months. Eight months later, that promise has become the single clearest liability of his second term. A Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed Monday put Trump’s approval rating […]
Introduction and Update This is a very detailed article. First published on January 24, 2025, four days after the inauguration of the Trump Presidency. It documents very carefully a chapter in our recent history which has not been the object of debate in the House of Commons, nor coverage by […]
It’s actually NATO that might soon test Russia’s resolve. Politico cited unnamed officials to report that CIA chief John Ratcliffe’s unannounced trip to Russia was primarily meant to warn it against testing NATO’s resolve through unspecified kinetic actions against the Baltic States. This follows Russia’s CIA analogue warning in late May that their […]
The conflict with Iran continues to deliver its mean shocks to an increasingly doddering US imperium. Depleted munitions, depleted stocks of goodwill and, it would seem, a disruption in resupplying warships operating in the Middle East, have become dents in a struggling war machine. This month, the aircraft carrier USS […]
Australia’s commitment to the AUKUS security partnership has once again become the subject of intense political debate following confirmation that Canberra will acquire secondhand Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines from the United States instead of a combination of new and existing vessels. While the government insists that the revised arrangement strengthens national […]
Eight bombs fell on the runways and hangars of the Abu al-Duhur air base in northern Syria early Tuesday morning, and within hours the incident had done something more consequential than damage a single airstrip: it pulled three of Washington’s closest Middle East partners – Israel, Turkey, and Syria’s new […]
For more than seventy years, one fact has quietly defined the US-South Korea alliance: if war ever resumed on the peninsula, an American four-star general – not a Korean one – would direct South Korea’s own troops. That arrangement, born of the 1950-53 Korean War and never fully undone, is […]
The most dangerous consequence of the expanding confrontation between Russia, Ukraine and Iran may not be a single dramatic military escalation, but the gradual disappearance of the boundaries separating conflicts that were previously treated as distinct. The war in Ukraine and the confrontation surrounding Iran have developed in different regions, […]
By the summer of 2026, the front line in Ukraine has frozen in a configuration barely changed from the autumn of 2023. Positional warfare in Donbass and Zaporozhye has devolved into artillery duels and assaults on small settlements, where advances are measured in hundreds of meters. The Ukrainian army, despite […]
Sixty days – that was the window the June memorandum of understanding gave Washington and Tehran to turn a fragile lull into a lasting peace. The clock ran out on Monday, August 17, and instead of a deal, the two sides produced the opposite: a senior Iranian official told Reuters […]
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