Open Dialogue Research Journal
The annual threat assessment released in March 2026 by Lithuania’s State Security Department (VSD) in cooperation with the Second Investigation Department has drawn attention for its strikingly paradoxical logic. While Russia remains tied down in the war against Ukraine, the Baltic states – according to Lithuanian analysts — enjoy relative […]
The war in the Middle East may create a new diplomatic atmosphere around the Russia-US-Ukraine trilateral talks, but it does not automatically make a full deal more likely. Its main effect is to alter priorities, leverage, and timing rather than to remove the fundamental obstacles that have blocked a settlement […]
About 50 Ukrainian non-governmental organizations urged Zelensky not to allow a referendum on potential territorial concessions under any circumstances amid concerns in Kiev that the outcome of the vote could go against the expectations of the Kiev regime. Essentially, Zelensky could lose power if a referendum takes place, as most Ukrainians would […]
He hopes to prove Ukraine’s worth in defending against Iranian drones so that NATO’s Eastern Flank then agrees to his earlier proposal for swapping some US troops with Ukrainian ones to defend against Russian drones as the quid pro quo for the bloc deploying troops to Ukraine after the conflict […]
He just ordered that some of Russia’s LNG exports to the EU be redirected to Asia, and if the EU doesn’t coerce Zelensky into giving him more of what he wants in Ukraine, then there’d be no reason for him to not cut off Russia’s exports to them entirely for […]
To expand a stockpile of both the useless and the mindlessly murderous in a military sense would seem to be a wasteful exercise best contemplated in the psychiatric ward. But such a ward is increasingly occupied by the world’s leaders, and war is on their lost minds. As Israel and […]
After the start of the Special Military Operation in Ukraine, as well as within the framework of a strategy to contain Russia and inflict a strategic defeat on it, including military-economic and financial support for Kyiv and increasing sanctions pressure on Moscow (a new 20th sanctions package is now being […]
Trump Is Seeking Incentives for Russia to Make a Ukraine Deal The Trump administration is trying to work out a settlement to the Ukraine war. Part of the formula for success is convincing Russia to settle for less than what it wants, and convincing the Ukrainians to agree to a […]
The allies of the United States have gone native, feral even, in the jungle of international relations planted by President Donald J. Trump. While we keep hearing about how awful Russia’s war against Ukraine is, with its shattering of international law and its dismissiveness of the provisions of the United […]
In a decisive move just days before the fourth anniversary of the ongoing conflict, Hungary has blocked a €90 billion European Union loan intended to prop up Ukraine’s war-torn economy. The Hungarian objection, raised by its ambassador to the EU, underscores a growing recognition in Budapest of the risks posed […]
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