There are five compelling arguments for either scenario. Ukraine just agreed to a month-long ceasefire after talks with the US in Jeddah, but it’s conditional on Russia agreeing to the same, which remains uncertain. Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to pay his second trip to Moscow in just as many months later this […]
Hybrid Wars
There Will Be No Peace In Ukraine
There is discord in Ukraine. The president says one thing, and his advisers and staff of his administration say the exact opposite. Officials, politicians, and the military have completely different opinions about what might happen next for their country, but they don’t want to give up. The war has already […]
The “ReArm Europe Plan” Will Probably Fall Far Short Of The Bloc’s Lofty Expectations
The estimated €800 billion in defense spending that’s supposed to follow in the next four years might sound impressive, but it becomes much less so when considering the difficulties in optimizing this. The EU swiftly responded to Trump’s decision to freeze all military aid to Ukraine by having European Commission President Ursula […]
Jeffrey Sacks Reveals The True Intentions Of Putin In The Ukrainian Conflict Addressing EU MPs
The idea was to keep NATO – and what is NATO, it’s the United States – off of Russia’s border – no more, no less. Renowned American economist Jeffrey Sachs delivered a frank address to the European Parliament, in which he harshly criticized the US actions to unleash the conflict […]
More Guns, Less Butter: Starmer’s Defence Spending Splash
The urge to throw more money at defence budgets across a number of countries has become infectious. It was bound to happen with Donald Trump’s return to the White House, given his previous insistence that US allies do more to fatten their own armies rather than rely on the largesse of […]
Analyzing Trump’s Latest Sanctions Threat Against Russia
The problem appears to be that there isn’t yet enough trust between Russia and the US to fully overcome their security dilemma in spite of the impressive progress that’s been made thus far. Trump surprised friends and foes alike when he posted the following on Friday: “Based on the fact that Russia […]
Trump’s Misrepresentation Of His Ukraine Negotiations
U.S. President Trump is misrepresenting to allege that he is making progress in his attempt to get Ukraine’s leader Volodmyr Zelensky to accept ending the war in Ukraine on any other basis than defeating Russia outright (no compromise). When I reported, on March 1st, about “The Trump-v.-Zelensky Comedy Show” which had been […]
The Agony Of The ‘Political West’
Last week, I recounted the events concerning the Ukrainian conflict, emphasizing that the French president, Emmanuel Macron, as brilliant as he is, was incapable of adapting to changes in the world. This week, I take the same elements, and many others that followed, to show that the divorce of Europeans […]
Ukraine Already Kinda Has Article 5 Guarantees From Some NATO Countries
Considering that Article 5 always left the option of armed force up to each individual member, which remains the case with each of the bilateral “security guarantees” that Ukraine reached with some of them over the past year, Meloni’s dramatic proposal doesn’t actually amount to anything new. Italian Prime Minister […]
Ukraine Says It Wants To Negotiate A ‘Peace Framework’ With Washington In Riyadh
Meanwhile Washington’s Negotiation with Russia on Ukraine are Stalled. If the US and Russia want a deal on Ukraine, Zelensky will need to cooperate. That is far from certain. The result could be that President Trump will not be able to negotiate a Ukraine settlement with Russia and the Ukraine […]
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