If Turkiye launches a military intervention in Iran along the lines of its earlier ones in Iraq and Syria to stop what it considers to be Kurdish terrorists, then its Azerbaijani ally might make a move on what it considers to be “South Azerbaijan”, and then the Gulf Arabs and […]
Turkey
On The Transformation Of Armenia’s Foreign Policy Priorities In The Context Of Cooling Relations With Russia
After Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government came to power in Armenia in 2018 as a result of the “velvet revolution”, the course of maintaining close relations with Moscow in the general context of Yerevan’s “multi-vector maneuvering” generally remained for several more years. However, after a heavy military defeat from Azerbaijan […]
Armenia’s Pro-American Pivot Might Entail Radical Socio-Cultural Costs
Armenia might have to accept the return of the ~200,000 Azeris who fled during the chaotic Soviet collapse (and the descendants), grant them equal language rights, teach in schools that they consider Armenia to be “Western Azerbaijan”, and possibly agree to a Schengen-like deal with Azerbaijan. Vice President JD Vance’s […]
Vance’s Trip To The South Caucasus Tightens The West’s Encirclement Of Russia
The timing amidst continued US-mediated talks between Russia and Ukraine suggests that the US expects this ramped-up pressure to raise the chances of coercing concessions from Russia. Vice President JD Vance’s trips to Armenia and Azerbaijan were aimed at advancing several interconnected strategic goals. The most immediate was making progress on implementing the “Trump […]
Iran’s “Balkanization” Is Unlikely But Still Can’t Be Ruled Out
Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, all of which have been Iran’s “frenemies” since 1979 and whose military-strategic interests are increasingly converging, are expected to exploit any large-scale instability that could follow another potential round of US strikes if Trump changes his mind. The Wall Street Journal recently published a […]
The Defeat Of The Kurds In Syria
After months of skirmishes and mutual accusations, the militants, formally structured into the Syrian armed forces and the Kurdish militia in the northeast of the country (Rojava region by the Kurdish definition), known as the Syrian Democratic Forces, turned to intense fighting that happened last weekend. Pretty quickly, the Kurds […]
Eastern Mediterranean Geopolitics Are Becoming More Complex
Tensions are growing between Turkiye-Pakistan and Israel-Cyprus-Greece. Stability in the Eastern Mediterranean can no longer be taken for granted as a result of three recent developments: 1) the growing Turkish-Israeli rivalry in post-Assad Syria; 2) Israel’s reported plans to establish a rapid response force with Cyprus and Greece; and 3) Turkish ally Pakistan’s new military […]
Israel’s Rivalry With Turkiye Played A Major Role In Its Recognition Of Somaliland
Israel obtains strategic depth in proximity to Turkiye’s Somali facilities for monitoring and – if need be – destroying them if evidence emerges that they’re being used for nuclear purposes like its media now suspects is the purpose behind its planned spaceport and military cooperation with Pakistan there. Israel just […]
What Could The Contours Of A NATO-Russian Non-Aggression Pact Look Like?
Awareness of the threats that NATO poses along these three fronts and the division of labor between the top five states therein – Finland, Sweden, Poland, Romania, and Turkiye – enables Russia to devise the most effective countermeasures and propose the best means for managing future tensions. It was earlier […]
On The Historical Legacy Of Pan-Turkism
At the origins of the “unifying” concept lie destructive ideas On November 22, 2025, the Organization of Turkic States held the first meeting of Supreme Audit Institutions, opening another page in cooperation between the countries of the Pacific Region. If you open the official website of this structure, you will […]






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