UK Conservatives: Falling Into Obscurity

Conservatives face major setback in UK local elections as Labour gains ground.

Conservative politicians have done everything to bring down their own ratings. The Committee of Privileges, set up in the House of Commons to investigate Boris Johnson’s actions as Prime Minister, found that Johnson “deliberately misled Parliament.” This forced him to resign immediately. His actions, including the list of candidates for inclusion in the House of Lords, caused public indignation, because his own father was among them. A clear, ostentatious manifestation of nepotism in a democratic country. Where is this good for? As a result, a commission was even set to reform the upper house of Parliament. This is necessary for a more thorough selection of candidates and regulation of the term of office.

The term in office of Liz Truss was accompanied by loud scandals, each of which seriously damaged the reputation of the party. She demonstrated her incompetence in drawing up the country’s budget, which shook the position of the pound sterling. She aggravated the situation of the British, which was already very difficult after the COVID-19 pandemic and disgraced the country: her actions caused condemnation not only of her own people, but also of the Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund, even Joe Biden did not stand aside. The results of her activity as Prime Minister were unbridled inflation, which reached a mind-boggling 11%, an extremely high refinancing rate (5%) and a sharp decline in the standard of living of the population.

The Conservatives have managed to completely discredit themselves in the eyes of their own voters. This includes the constant, one might say, endless change of prime ministers, those by no means democratic rules according to which the last prime minister was elected or, rather, “crowned”. The sophisticated reader should be reminded that ordinary Tories were not even allowed to vote. Those Tories who were dissatisfied with the new prime minister set up, led by Boris Johnson, an opposition group within the Conservative Party, the Conservative Democratic Organization, whose activities were aimed at ousting the current leader of the party.

They want Boris Johnson as Prime Minister, not an immigrant from India. And this is happening even against the background of the fact that Boris Johnson does not respect even those laws that were passed during his term. British politics has grown small… Boris Johnson’s main merit is considered not to improve the lives of Britons, but that he became the man who managed to bring the Conservatives to leadership.

So, the Tories lost the local elections. For what reasons is the tenth thing, when the general election is coming up. The fact of losing is important. The result is the worst in the last 40 years: the Conservative candidate became mayor in only 1 out of 11 cities, half of the representatives in local authorities were lost (about 500 people, while the Labor Party had over 1,000), slipped to third place, passing the Liberal Democrats to second.

However, Johnson does not have enough forces and supporters within the party. His goal is to announce a vote of no confidence in his prime minister. Is he trying to regain power in this way? It is quite possible. But he does not have enough authority or supporters within the party. Moreover, even if successful, the fourth prime minister in five years would have called into question the effectiveness of the Tory party. This would be fraught with another crisis within the party and a wave of ridicule in the British tabloids.

Sunak has already openly admitted that, despite his willingness to lead the party through ice and fire to victory in the general election, he is not so sure of his triumph. Most likely, the option of a “hung parliament” will be chosen, a situation where Labour will not be able to gain a majority in the House of Commons, and therefore will be forced to form a coalition government consisting of the Greens, the Scottish National Party, and the Liberal Democrats. Such a composition would be a disaster for the UK. Nevertheless, polls indicate the opposite trend: Labour is able to gain a majority of seats given the fact that the ratings of the Scottish National Party are declining.

Voters are flowing smoothly into the Labour camp. However, it is necessary to take into account the fact that many Conservative supporters ignored the last elections, unwilling to cast their vote either for their favorite party or for its opponents. These people will play a role in the upcoming elections. Ahead of the parliamentary elections, the following conclusion can be drawn with 100% probability: the Tories’ positions are shakier than ever.

As for the Labour party, the party, under the leadership of             Keir Starmer, was able to significantly strengthen its position. Most importantly, Labour have been able to achieve significant success in some southern constituencies where Conservatives have traditionally been strong. No wonder Keir Starmer declared the results of the local elections a “seismic success.” The politician also took into account the stunning victory over the Tory candidate in Blackpool South with a huge margin of 26% of the vote. Even in the Sunak’s constituency, Labour won the mayoral election, and Labour’s Sadiq Khan was elected mayor of London for the first time for a historic third term (61.2% with a high turnout for this level of 40.5%). Time will tell what the outcome of the parliamentary elections will be.

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