Iran has unveiled a regional initiative to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi returned to Tehran in the weekend after a regional tour to Azerbaijan, Russia, Armenia and Turkey to discuss the peace plan. Foreign Minister Javad Zarif has since explained Tehran’s thinking. A report in the […]
Caucasus
Turkey’s Recent S-400 Test Helps Maintain Its ‘Balancing’ Act Between The US & Russia
Turkey couldn’t have tested its S-400s at a more opportune moment than last week since the timing helps the country maintain its delicate “balancing” act between the US and Russia, reassuring Moscow at a pivotal juncture in their relationship that Ankara is no longer the fierce rival that some commentators […]
Arc Of Instability On Russia’s Periphery
An arc of instability has appeared on Russia’s peripheral regions to the west and southwest — Belarus, Nagorno-Karabakh and Kyrgyzstan. These regions are vital to Russia’s national security and weakens its capacity to be a resurgent power on the world stage. Belarus is a de facto buffer zone for Russia […]
NATO Supports Turkey While Seeking To Eliminate President Erdoğan
In the Karabakh War, contemporary law is contradictory depending on whether it is interpreted in terms of ownership of the territory or the self-determination of the people. Taking advantage of this equivocation, the Turkish people (i.e., both Turkey and Azerbaijan) have just attacked this territory, self-proclaimed independent (Artsakh) although de facto linked to Armenia.
What Could A Russian Intervention In Nagorno-Karabakh Look Like?
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov’s suggestion to deploy Russian peacekeepers and military observers into the universally recognized Azerbaijani territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and its seven surrounding districts under Armenian occupation pending both sides’ agreement raises the prospect of Moscow’s military intervention in this conflict, which is worthwhile examining since this scenario isn’t […]
Several Observations About The Russian-Brokered Armenian-Azerbaijani Ceasefire
It was a diplomatic coup for Russia to broker a ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan since it restored Moscow’s relevance to the conflict, but for as positive of a development as this was, it’s uncertain whether it’ll last and will thus serve as a litmus test of exactly how much […]
The Time of Troubles in Transcaucasia (III)
Part I, Part II Caucasian chalk circle The United States and Russia are increasingly in each other’s crosshairs on the global stage, be it in the Arctic, the Black Sea or the Middle East. But they have joined hands with alacrity to take a common stance on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. […]
Will Karabagh Be The Tomb Of Erdoğan ?
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict certainly had its origins in the dissolution of the USSR, but it was revived by the will of the Turkish president. It is unlikely that he took this initiative without first referring it to Washington. This is also what President Saddam Hussein did before invading Kuwait, falling by ambition into the trap set for him and causing his downfall.
The Time Of Troubles In Transcaucasia (II)
Part I The German Chancellor Angela Merkel said in Berlin on October 2 that the European Union seeks a “constructive dialogue and a positive agenda” with Turkey. She had just returned to the German capital after a 2-day summit meeting of the EU countries in Brussels. Germany played a key […]
Five Ways That An Azerbaijani Victory Over Armenia Would Advance Russian Interests
Russian interests are arguably best served by an Azerbaijani victory over Armenia since that would teach the Soros Color Revolution government in Yerevan a lesson about the futility of trying to “decouple” from Moscow, secure crucial trans-Azerbaijani trade corridors such as its North-South Transport Corridor (NSTC) and the Chinese-Turkish Middle […]
The Time Of Troubles In Transcaucasia (I)
Three days into the renewed conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in the Transcaucasian region — also known as South Caucasus — it is becoming clear that the binary narrative dished out by western commentators of this being a Turkish-Russian clash of wills and strategies is either simply naive or purposively deceptive. The […]
Iranian Geostrategic Calculations In The Nagorno-Karabakh Crisis
Iran has an extremely rare opportunity to greatly improve its regional reputation by offering to host peace talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan to replace the failed OSCE Minsk Process, though it might experience intense Russian resistance if it opts for this course of action unless Tehran can convince Moscow that […]
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